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Red6
8586.0
11404.9
11886.8
Blue42
90412.9
19.5
4515.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162001030405060642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
Unranked
6.80.9
6.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
904
Unranked
12.91.9
8.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
858
Unranked
6.00.9
3.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1
Unranked
9.51.9
5.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1140
Unranked
4.90.9
6.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
451
Unranked
5.21.9
5.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End