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Red3
339.8
8570.1
8302.2
Blue38
39711.0
46910.3
4065.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1624010203040506070338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
9.81.2
11.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
397
Unranked
11.01.2
11.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
Unranked
2.21.2
3.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
469
Unranked
10.31.2
7.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
857
Unranked
0.11.2
1.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
406
Unranked
5.31.2
4.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End