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Red2
5155.5
4065.3
54810.4
Blue21
3137.9
658.2
27912.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222501030405060221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
Unranked
10.41.6
11.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
279
Unranked
12.50.3
11.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
515
Unranked
5.51.6
5.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
65
Unranked
8.20.3
9.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
406
Unranked
5.31.6
5.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
313
Unranked
7.90.3
4.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End