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Red53
39711.0
32211.7
6614.4
Blue21
90412.9
8358.5
2017.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1816010304050605321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
14.42.9
7.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
904
Unranked
12.90.4
4.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
322
Unranked
11.72.9
5.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
835
Unranked
8.50.4
7.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
397
Unranked
11.02.9
5.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
201
Unranked
7.60.4
5.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End