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Red31
7543.8
8574.9
4521.3
Blue20
1077.7
12686.4
10915.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1417051020253035403120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
Unranked
21.31.4
10.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
107
Unranked
7.70.3
7.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
Unranked
4.91.2
0.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1268
Unranked
6.40.3
5.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
754
Unranked
3.81.4
3.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1091
Unranked
5.70.3
4.24.5
Auto
Teleop
End