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Qual 162005 Midwest Regional
Red39
10915.7
38311.7
87713.5
Blue12
14722.6
152513.6
8574.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1780304050603912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
Unranked
13.51.9
5.9→7.7
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blue by 0.1
1525
Unranked
13.60.2
3.7→3.9
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Second
383
Unranked
11.71.9
6.0→7.9
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Teleop—
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red by 6.8
857
Unranked
4.90.2
2.0→2.2
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Teleop—
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Third
1091
Unranked
5.71.9
4.5→6.4
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Teleop—
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red by 3.1
1472
Unranked
2.60.2
3.8→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—