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Red20
10342.5
9702.9
11114.2
Blue19
9301.6
8574.9
1673.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121305101520252019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
14.20.7
8.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
857
Unranked
4.90.4
2.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
970
Unranked
2.90.7
1.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
167
Unranked
3.70.5
6.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1034
Unranked
2.50.7
1.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
930
Unranked
1.60.5
4.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End