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Red5
10915.7
53714.2
6510.3
Blue28
11114.2
5256.8
12597.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29170406080100528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
Unranked
14.21.9
12.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
111
Unranked
14.20.8
7.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
65
Unranked
10.31.1
7.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1259
Unranked
7.20.8
5.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1091
Unranked
5.71.9
7.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
525
Unranked
6.80.8
5.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End