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Red51
7120.2
11114.2
53714.2
Blue52
64810.6
7912.1
1077.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49260204060801005152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
20.20.1
19.519.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
79
Unranked
12.10.4
11.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
111
Unranked
14.20.1
13.613.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
648
Unranked
10.60.5
10.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
537
Unranked
14.20.1
13.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
107
Unranked
7.70.5
7.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End