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Red46
85814.6
86816.3
49414.4
Blue6
57311.9
32213.8
8626.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4933020406080100466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
16.30.0
17.117.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
322
Unranked
13.80.5
14.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
858
Unranked
14.60.0
15.215.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
573
Unranked
11.90.5
12.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
494
Unranked
14.40.0
15.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
862
Unranked
6.70.5
7.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End