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Red45
10714.2
6618.1
9312.5
Blue37
28812.9
8888.6
859.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49290204060801004537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
18.10.0
18.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
288
Unranked
12.90.1
12.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
14.20.0
14.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
85
Unranked
9.90.1
9.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
93
Unranked
12.50.0
13.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
888
Unranked
8.60.1
8.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End