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Red31
20113.9
1843.0
49414.4
Blue27
85814.6
6718.4
15005.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25340102040506070803127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
14.40.3
12.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
67
Unranked
18.40.3
22.121.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
Unranked
13.90.3
11.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
858
Unranked
14.60.3
7.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
184
Unranked
3.00.3
1.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1500
Unranked
5.60.5
3.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End