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Red22
16778.1
13276.2
20113.9
Blue64
91018.0
121316.6
10159.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2339060801002264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
13.90.2
12.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
910
Unranked
18.01.5
14.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1677
Unranked
8.10.2
6.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
1213
Unranked
16.61.4
13.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1327
Unranked
6.20.2
6.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1015
Unranked
9.01.5
8.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End