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Red29
20113.9
15025.3
57311.9
Blue38
4712.9
1415.0
16746.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30270204060802938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
13.90.0
11.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
47
Unranked
12.90.5
13.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
Unranked
11.90.0
14.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1674
Unranked
6.70.9
7.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1502
Unranked
5.30.0
3.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
141
Unranked
5.00.5
6.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End