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Red0
57311.9
6718.4
10159.0
Blue38
16543.7
3317.9
20113.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4632020406080100038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
18.42.2
20.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
33
Unranked
17.90.2
16.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
Unranked
11.92.2
14.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
201
Unranked
13.90.2
11.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1015
Unranked
9.02.2
9.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1654
Unranked
3.70.3
5.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End