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Red38
20113.9
8626.7
8888.6
Blue40
15046.0
32213.8
16543.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272610203040503840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
13.90.6
11.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
322
Unranked
13.80.7
15.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
888
Unranked
8.60.9
7.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1504
Unranked
6.01.2
5.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
862
Unranked
6.70.6
7.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1654
Unranked
3.71.2
5.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End