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Red52
859.9
85814.6
32213.8
Blue20
16543.7
10159.0
90413.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362902060805220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
Unranked
14.60.8
11.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
904
Unranked
13.90.5
14.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
322
Unranked
13.80.8
15.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1015
Unranked
9.00.5
8.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
85
Unranked
9.90.8
8.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1654
Unranked
3.70.8
6.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End