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Red37
2506.5
29318.6
8183.9
Blue42
115310.3
86817.8
125911.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28270102040503742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
18.60.5
19.119.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
868
Unranked
17.81.0
16.317.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
6.50.8
6.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1259
Unranked
11.40.9
7.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
818
Unranked
3.90.5
2.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1153
Unranked
10.31.2
3.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End