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Red31
16713.8
28011.6
48610.9
Blue38
140212.7
39513.7
11355.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233404060801003138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
Unranked
11.60.4
10.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
395
Unranked
13.70.3
15.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
486
Unranked
10.90.4
8.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1402
Unranked
12.70.3
13.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1671
Unranked
3.80.6
4.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1135
Unranked
5.90.4
3.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End