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Red63
91020.4
1254.8
125911.4
Blue20
9727.8
12898.3
1842.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331804060806320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
Unranked
20.41.6
17.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
1289
Unranked
8.30.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1259
Unranked
11.41.8
8.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
972
Unranked
7.80.0
8.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
125
Unranked
4.82.7
4.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
184
Unranked
2.20.0
3.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End