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Red71
2213.8
86817.8
15917.5
Blue0
8426.7
5824.5
13891.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4910020406080100120710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
17.81.6
17.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
842
Unranked
6.71.2
4.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
Unranked
17.51.3
18.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
582
Unranked
4.50.9
5.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
22
Unranked
13.81.3
8.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
1389
Unranked
1.51.2
4.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End