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Red21
8103.8
146615.3
27113.1
Blue42
125911.4
153914.7
164710.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402702060801002142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
Unranked
15.30.9
17.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1539
Unranked
14.70.7
12.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
13.10.9
12.912.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1259
Unranked
11.40.7
9.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
810
Unranked
3.81.4
7.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
1647
Unranked
10.50.7
6.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End