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Red79
9512.9
108312.9
159515.3
Blue5
39513.7
124912.3
16255.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2734020406080100795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
Unranked
15.34.3
11.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
395
Unranked
13.71.4
15.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
95
Unranked
12.94.3
6.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1249
Unranked
12.31.4
13.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1083
Unranked
12.92.6
10.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1625
Unranked
5.02.4
4.01.6
Auto
Teleop
End