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Red0
1205.2
8616.6
50317.3
Blue63
91020.4
27113.1
2237.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42430206080100120140063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
Unranked
17.32.1
16.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
910
Unranked
20.41.0
20.221.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
86
Unranked
16.62.1
18.216.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
271
Unranked
13.11.0
12.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
120
Unranked
5.22.1
7.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
223
Unranked
7.81.0
10.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End