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Red20
15917.5
1110.7
146615.3
Blue27
4628.2
48610.9
23010.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512004060801001202027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
Unranked
17.51.3
20.519.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
486
Unranked
10.90.2
8.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1466
Unranked
15.31.3
16.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
230
Unranked
10.70.2
7.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
11
Unranked
10.71.3
9.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
462
Unranked
8.20.2
7.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End