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Red43
8426.7
121815.1
63912.7
Blue27
9512.9
10387.6
153914.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28320204060801004327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
Unranked
15.10.7
14.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1539
Unranked
14.70.2
12.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
639
Unranked
12.70.8
10.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
95
Unranked
12.90.4
10.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
842
Unranked
6.71.2
2.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1038
Unranked
7.60.4
8.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End