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Qual 592005 Newton Division
Red12
1842.2
15917.5
11562.9
Blue5
115310.3
11893.7
2237.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26230406080125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
Unranked
17.50.7
19.2→18.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
1153
Unranked
10.31.5
7.1→5.6
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Teleop—
End—
Second
1156
Unranked
2.90.7
2.9→2.2
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Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.9
223
Unranked
7.80.9
11.8→10.9
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Teleop—
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Third
184
Unranked
2.20.7
3.4→2.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
1189
Unranked
3.70.9
4.2→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—