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Red51
77213.5
3459.1
9512.9
Blue26
98718.3
48610.9
20113.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224604060801005126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
Unranked
13.51.3
16.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
987
Unranked
18.31.0
19.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
95
Unranked
12.92.1
3.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
201
Unranked
13.40.9
13.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
345
Unranked
9.12.1
5.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
486
Unranked
10.91.2
10.08.9
Auto
Teleop
End