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Red5
77213.5
5558.3
2237.8
Blue16
125911.4
15062.5
3407.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402206080100516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
Unranked
13.51.6
16.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1259
Unranked
11.40.4
10.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
Unranked
8.31.6
10.08.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
340
Unranked
7.30.7
9.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
223
Unranked
7.81.6
10.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1506
Unranked
2.50.4
3.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End