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Red39
3411.4
157710.3
20113.4
Blue0
39513.7
8103.8
13891.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372306080100390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
13.40.2
14.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
395
Unranked
13.71.2
14.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34
Unranked
11.40.2
11.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
810
Unranked
3.82.1
5.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1577
Unranked
10.30.3
9.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1389
Unranked
1.52.1
4.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End