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Red2
1488.0
9391.4
5972.2
Blue25
4441.8
140212.7
23010.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1427020406080100225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
8.00.7
8.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1402
Unranked
12.70.0
13.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
597
Unranked
2.21.2
3.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
230
Unranked
10.70.0
8.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
939
Unranked
1.41.2
4.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
444
Unranked
1.80.0
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End