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Red35
53714.3
164710.5
86817.8
Blue27
8616.6
11115.9
5214.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801001203527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
17.80.5
19.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
86
Unranked
16.60.5
15.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
537
Unranked
14.30.5
16.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
111
Unranked
15.90.5
16.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1647
Unranked
10.50.5
9.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
521
Unranked
4.10.5
5.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End