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Red22
1205.2
16713.8
86817.8
Blue0
9391.4
9512.9
6870.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30180406080100120220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
Unranked
17.80.3
18.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
95
Unranked
12.91.6
14.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
120
Unranked
5.20.3
5.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
939
Unranked
1.41.6
3.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1671
Unranked
3.80.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
687
Unranked
0.31.6
1.90.3
Auto
Teleop
End