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Red20
5621.4
23715.8
3039.2
Blue62
127913.8
10315.8
3759.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51340204060801001202062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
21.40.7
22.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
103
Unranked
15.80.6
14.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
Unranked
15.80.7
16.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1279
Unranked
13.80.6
12.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
303
Unranked
9.20.7
10.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
375
Unranked
9.20.6
8.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End