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Qual 112005 New Jersey Regional
Red48
71611.1
1110.3
86912.2
Blue6
410.8
13665.6
11449.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3016010204050607080486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
Unranked
12.21.3
11.5→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
1144
Unranked
9.71.0
6.7→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
716
Unranked
11.11.0
9.3→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.5
1366
Unranked
5.61.0
3.8→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
11
Unranked
10.31.6
7.6→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.5
41
Unranked
0.81.0
7.5→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—