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Red6
13026.8
16762.5
11562.2
Blue0
23715.8
8960.2
1362.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151202030405060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
Unranked
6.80.7
7.36.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
237
Unranked
15.81.0
7.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
Unranked
2.50.7
3.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
136
Unranked
2.61.0
4.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1156
Unranked
2.20.7
4.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
896
Unranked
0.21.0
0.8-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End