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Red5
3814.4
16724.4
71611.1
Blue29
14039.1
15633.6
3039.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182501030405060529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
11.10.7
10.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
303
Unranked
9.20.4
8.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
381
Unranked
4.41.1
5.54.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1403
Unranked
9.10.4
12.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1672
Unranked
4.41.1
3.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1563
Unranked
3.60.4
3.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End