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Red8
12282.6
15633.6
8960.2
Blue0
410.8
1028.9
10899.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions-0252040608080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1563
Unranked
3.60.5
4.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1089
Unranked
9.81.9
12.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1228
Unranked
2.60.5
-0.9-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
102
Unranked
8.91.9
5.03.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
896
Unranked
0.20.5
-0.7-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
41
Unranked
0.81.9
4.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End