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Red0
7140.4
22411.3
16994.5
Blue2
13665.6
14039.1
8960.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151410020030040050060002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
Unranked
11.31.3
11.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1403
Unranked
9.11.0
11.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1699
Unranked
4.51.3
2.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1366
Unranked
5.61.0
2.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
714
Unranked
0.41.3
2.00.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
896
Unranked
0.21.0
-0.2-1.3
Auto
Teleop
End