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Red20
6944.5
11874.4
5283.7
Blue0
11449.7
6135.5
2196.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71701030405060200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
Unranked
4.51.0
6.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1144
Unranked
9.71.4
4.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1187
Unranked
4.41.0
-0.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
219
Unranked
6.01.4
6.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
528
Unranked
3.71.0
2.13.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
613
Unranked
5.51.4
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End