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Qual 472005 New Jersey Regional
Red78
48610.0
11449.7
27214.4
Blue21
1028.9
13026.8
3814.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2212030405060707821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
Unranked
14.44.7
10.4→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 5.5
102
Unranked
8.90.7
5.6→6.2
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Teleop—
End—
Second
486
Unranked
10.04.7
7.9→12.7
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Teleop—
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red by 3.2
1302
Unranked
6.80.7
4.5→5.2
Auto—
Teleop—
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Third
1144
Unranked
9.74.7
2.9→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
381
Unranked
4.40.7
3.0→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—