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Red38
22411.3
1110.3
75211.3
Blue3
16724.4
12282.6
1362.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339020406080100383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
Unranked
11.30.6
11.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1672
Unranked
4.40.7
6.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
752
Unranked
11.30.6
10.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
136
Unranked
2.60.7
3.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
11
Unranked
10.30.6
8.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1228
Unranked
2.60.7
2.31.6
Auto
Teleop
End