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Red23
13829.5
29312.9
410.8
Blue40
14039.1
3693.8
23715.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2326010304050602340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
12.90.0
13.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
237
Unranked
15.81.1
12.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1382
Unranked
9.50.0
7.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1403
Unranked
9.11.1
8.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
41
Unranked
0.80.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
369
Unranked
3.81.1
3.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End