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Qual 742005 New Jersey Regional
Red46
16888.6
13026.8
13829.5
Blue3
15633.6
5283.7
16724.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20130304050607080463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1382
Unranked
9.51.9
7.6→9.5
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Teleop—
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red by 5.1
1672
Unranked
4.40.8
5.2→4.4
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Teleop—
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Second
1688
Unranked
8.61.9
6.7→8.6
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Teleop—
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red by 4.9
528
Unranked
3.70.8
4.5→3.7
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Teleop—
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Third
1302
Unranked
6.81.9
4.8→6.8
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Teleop—
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red by 3.2
1563
Unranked
3.60.9
4.4→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—