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Qual 782005 New Jersey Regional
Red41
11449.7
127913.8
75211.3
Blue16
3693.8
6378.2
29312.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31280204060801001201401604116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
Unranked
13.80.7
11.8→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
293
Unranked
12.90.9
13.8→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
752
Unranked
11.30.8
10.5→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
637
Unranked
8.20.9
10.1→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1144
Unranked
9.70.7
8.9→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
369
Unranked
3.80.9
4.7→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—