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Red41
36818.5
154812.1
49611.3
Blue20
11596.5
15057.2
16311.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211204060804120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
Unranked
18.51.0
10.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1505
Unranked
7.20.5
2.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1548
Unranked
12.11.7
5.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1159
Unranked
6.50.5
7.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
496
Unranked
11.31.7
4.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
1631
Unranked
1.60.5
3.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End