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Red50
87811.0
36818.5
11014.8
Blue0
15272.1
16615.0
103115.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22190406080100500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
Unranked
18.51.4
11.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1031
Unranked
15.41.6
8.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
878
Unranked
11.02.4
5.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1661
Unranked
5.01.6
6.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1101
Unranked
4.82.4
5.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1527
Unranked
2.11.6
4.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End