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Red8
16311.6
132410.8
15727.3
Blue32
16615.0
3994.9
15272.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1911030405060832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1324
Unranked
10.80.8
10.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1661
Unranked
5.01.7
4.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1572
Unranked
7.30.8
4.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
399
Unranked
4.91.7
4.86.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1631
Unranked
1.60.8
3.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1527
Unranked
2.11.7
2.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End