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Red50
99112.1
87811.0
16130.5
Blue4
16311.6
11206.1
15440.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23110304050607080504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
Unranked
12.12.4
11.814.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1120
Unranked
6.10.7
8.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
878
Unranked
11.02.4
10.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1631
Unranked
1.60.7
2.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1613
Unranked
0.52.4
-0.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1544
Unranked
0.60.7
1.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End