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Red25
98719.5
132410.8
5854.3
Blue0
15389.4
15272.1
103115.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41270206080100250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
19.50.9
20.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1031
Unranked
15.41.9
14.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1324
Unranked
10.80.9
12.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1538
Unranked
9.42.2
9.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
585
Unranked
4.30.9
6.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1527
Unranked
2.11.9
4.62.7
Auto
Teleop
End